Saturday, January 7, 2012

Burton Malkiel on 2012

As I review the performance of various asset classes in 2011, it is rather clear that the investment markets continue to struggle with the effects of the global financial crisis. There are very few asset classes that performed will last year.

I have read several books on the history of economic crises and the impact such crises have on the financial markets. The correlation between asset classes converges and there are often few places for investors to hide. Unfortunately, last year was no exception to this phenomenon.

Most investors have undoubtedly grown weary of watching their portfolios languish. The past several years, starting in the fall of 2007, have not been kind to investors.

I know from my self-directed reading that eventually crises end and asset classes begin to follow a more normal pattern of returns. However, the current economic crisis in Europe (and the United States) is rather acute and the deleveraging process that must precede market recovery will quite likely take longer than most expected and hoped.

The fundamentals of investing have not changed: proper asset allocation, diversification, low costs and systematic rebalancing. You might find this article by Professor Burton Malkiel in The Wall Street Journal reassuring, "Where to Put Your Money in 2012." Professor Malkiel and Richard Ellis co-authored The Elements of Investing, which I highly recommend.

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